Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Seth Jarvis
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Pageau
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Pageau
Jarvis
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
4
Pageau
Jarvis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
0
Pageau
Jarvis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
41.8% (354)
+14.0%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
43.7% (119)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
38.2% (157)
+11.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Jarvis is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jarvis
Home
56.3% (6,267)
43.8% (336)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Pageau
Jarvis
P1
54.7%
39.5%
P2
56.3%
39.5%
P3
53.5%
45.8%
OT
54.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |