Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Pageau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
52.0% (102)
+7.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
100.0% (2)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
29.0% (31)
+30.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nosek
Home
58.4% (430)
52.0% (50)
Away
61.0% (559)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Pageau
Nosek
P1
55.4%
45.0%
P2
61.8%
42.0%
P3
61.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |