Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 57.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 57.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Pageau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Pageau
Nosek
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
7
Pageau
Nosek
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Pageau
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
54.9% (2,710)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
45.8% (48)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
47.2% (428)
+2.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nosek
Home
56.3% (6,267)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Pageau
Nosek
P1
54.7%
52.2%
P2
56.3%
54.1%
P3
53.5%
54.7%
OT
54.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |