Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 54.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 60.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Pageau
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Pageau
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
47.2% (687)
+12.2%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
45.0% (20)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
33.0% (88)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
58.4% (430)
44.4% (356)
Away
61.0% (559)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
55.4%
42.2%
P2
61.8%
50.0%
P3
61.5%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |