Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 25-12 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 90.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 98.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 95.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Pageau
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
12
(37 meetings)
25
12
Pageau
Gourde
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
1
Pageau
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
4
Pageau
Gourde
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Pageau
Gourde
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
48.4% (4,987)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
57.4% (376)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
40.0% (555)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gourde
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Pageau
Gourde
P1
54.7%
49.8%
P2
56.3%
47.5%
P3
53.5%
47.5%
OT
54.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |