Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Cates 45.8% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Carter
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
44.3% (271)
+21.3%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
77.8% (18)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
31.7% (41)
+18.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Carter
Cates
Home
64.3% (207)
52.0% (148)
Away
60.8% (217)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Carter
Cates
P1
65.3%
42.7%
P2
60.1%
42.9%
P3
63.8%
48.5%
Final 5 min
65.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%