Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 85.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 72.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 67.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Skinner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Skinner
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Skinner
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
48.5% (778)
-1.7%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
63.4% (191)
-14.7%
On power play, Aho has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Skinner
Aho
Home
53.8% (169)
51.3% (530)
Away
38.9% (131)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Skinner
Aho
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
47.1%
51.3%
P3
46.9%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |