Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Aho 51.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 93.8%
Defensive zone
Skinner 55.7%
Neutral zone
Skinner 77.2%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Skinner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Skinner
Aho
Last 9: Skinner 2-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
7
Skinner
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.1% (6,415)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
59.1% (1,297)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
46.0% (446)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Skinner
Aho
Home
48.2% (949)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
39.9% (791)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Skinner
Aho
P1
41.6%
51.2%
P2
46.0%
52.1%
P3
46.4%
50.8%
OT
23.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |