Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 30.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Hayes 42.7% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 53.4%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.7%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Boqvist
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
31.9% (91)
-1.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
64.3% (14)
-44.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 30.8% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
30.0% (60)
30.6% (49)
Away
28.0% (50)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
35.9%
22.9%
P2
27.5%
40.0%
P3
22.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%