Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Hayes 47.7% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 51.3%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Boqvist
Hayes
Last 10: Boqvist 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
4
1
Boqvist
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Boqvist
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Boqvist
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
47.5% (6,708)
-11.2%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
51.7% (702)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.3% (697)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
36.9% (542)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
35.8% (617)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
37.4%
47.5%
P2
35.9%
47.6%
P3
35.9%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
36.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |