Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 26.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Roy 51.9% (-23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 83.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.5%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 65.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Boqvist
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boqvist
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Boqvist
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
51.9% (547)
-21.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
54.1% (37)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Boqvist is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Boqvist shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Roy
Home
30.0% (60)
54.0% (328)
Away
28.0% (50)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Boqvist
Roy
P1
35.9%
53.5%
P2
27.5%
51.6%
P3
22.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |