Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Boqvist wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Roy 48.4% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 74.9%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 61.2%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 75.1%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Boqvist
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Boqvist
Roy
Last 10: Boqvist 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
2
0
Boqvist
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Boqvist
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Boqvist
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
48.7% (3,719)
-12.4%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
49.5% (283)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.5% (477)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Boqvist shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Roy
Home
36.9% (542)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
35.8% (617)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Boqvist
Roy
P1
37.4%
50.8%
P2
35.9%
46.3%
P3
35.9%
48.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |