Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Cates 45.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 59.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 78.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.4%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Boqvist
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boqvist
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
46.7% (912)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
33.9% (56)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
35.0% (137)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Boqvist is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Boqvist shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Cates
Home
43.0% (93)
46.1% (521)
Away
41.3% (75)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Boqvist
Cates
P1
55.9%
48.0%
P2
37.3%
42.3%
P3
31.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
42.3%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |