Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nick Paul
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
18
(34 meetings)
16
18
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
7
3
Kotkaniemi
Paul
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
6
Kotkaniemi
Paul
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
7
9
Kotkaniemi
Paul
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
52.6% (3,823)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
56.2% (484)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
46.9% (576)
-1.2%
On power play, Paul has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Home
49.7% (2,197)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Paul
P1
49.9%
53.8%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
47.2%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |