Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
53.3% (1,025)
-6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
64.7% (249)
+35.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
60.0% (15)
-26.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Home
46.5% (129)
56.9% (675)
Away
50.0% (84)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
P1
51.3%
55.1%
P2
46.1%
53.1%
P3
45.9%
58.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |