Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sidney Crosby
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 71.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
10
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
52.8% (18,031)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
57.4% (4,741)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
47.0% (766)
-1.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
Home
49.7% (2,197)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Crosby
P1
49.9%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
53.8%
P3
47.2%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |