Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +30.3% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pacioretty shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Pacioretty 47.7% (+30.3%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Pavelski
Pacioretty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Pacioretty
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
25.0% (8)
+27.5%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
0.0% (1)
+54.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pacioretty shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Pacioretty is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Pacioretty
Home
55.0% (391)
33.3% (3)
Away
49.7% (360)
16.7% (6)
By Period
Pavelski
Pacioretty
P1
50.8%
40.0%
P2
55.0%
0.0%
P3
52.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
22.2%