Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Pacioretty 47.0% (+21.7%)
Offensive zone
Pacioretty 54.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 69.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Pavelski
Pacioretty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Pacioretty
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
33.3% (15)
+18.2%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
0.0% (2)
+51.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pacioretty shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Pacioretty is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Pacioretty
Home
53.1% (339)
33.3% (6)
Away
49.2% (356)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Pavelski
Pacioretty
P1
53.8%
33.3%
P2
47.8%
40.0%
P3
50.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
83.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
29.4%