Joe Pavelski vs Nate Thompson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 54.1% vs Thompson 52.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor Thompson leads 31-23 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 66.8%
Defensive zone Thompson 80.2%
Neutral zone Thompson 61.5%
Result Nate Thompson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Pavelski Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
23 - 31 (54 meetings)
23
31
Pavelski Thompson
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
12
10
Pavelski Thompson
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
11
Pavelski Thompson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
10
Pavelski Thompson
14 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
54.8% (135)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
47.9% (1,381)
+3.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +3.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Thompson
Home
56.4% (5,998)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Pavelski
Thompson
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
55.2%
52.9%
P3
53.9%
52.8%
OT
52.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
54.2%
Thompson
64.0%
59.0%
52.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 13, 2021 3 17:57 Neutral Nate Thompson
Nov 13, 2021 1 16:58 Offensive Nate Thompson
Nov 2, 2019 3 09:08 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 2, 2019 2 15:24 Offensive Nate Thompson
Jan 7, 2019 3 04:22 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 7, 2019 2 07:23 Defensive Nate Thompson
Jan 7, 2019 2 05:29 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 22, 2018 2 14:23 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Oct 5, 2018 1 09:27 Defensive Nate Thompson
Dec 9, 2017 3 16:55 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 9, 2017 3 15:20 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 9, 2017 3 09:15 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 9, 2017 2 15:15 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 9, 2017 1 15:42 Neutral Nate Thompson
Dec 9, 2017 1 03:40 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 9, 2017 1 01:59 Defensive Nate Thompson
Feb 2, 2016 3 19:15 Defensive Nate Thompson
Feb 2, 2016 2 19:40 Defensive Nate Thompson
Dec 31, 2014 3 00:00 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 31, 2014 1 12:58 Defensive Nate Thompson