Joe Pavelski vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
43.0% (349)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
31.8% (88)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.0% (391)
38.5% (231)
Away
49.7% (360)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Pavelski
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.8%
40.2%
P2
55.0%
36.0%
P3
52.0%
45.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |