Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 52.0%). Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Veleno
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
53.3% (807)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
46.3% (147)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Veleno
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (123)
49.8% (466)
Away
52.2% (184)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Veleno
Zibanejad
P1
54.1%
52.9%
P2
48.8%
51.2%
P3
52.6%
51.7%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |