Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 55.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 51.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Veleno
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Veleno
Zibanejad
Last 10: Veleno 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Veleno
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
2
Veleno
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
50.9% (11,756)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
52.2% (1,852)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
41.6% (1,796)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Veleno
Zibanejad
Home
45.3% (1,136)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Veleno
Zibanejad
P1
47.9%
50.4%
P2
47.7%
49.7%
P3
45.9%
49.9%
OT
35.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |