Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Veleno
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Veleno
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
50.4% (1,032)
-3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.3% (107)
+47.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
40.6% (313)
-15.6%
On power play, Veleno has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Veleno
Backlund
Home
47.8% (201)
48.7% (749)
Away
46.1% (228)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Veleno
Backlund
P1
48.8%
50.4%
P2
47.9%
50.1%
P3
44.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.9%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |