Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 71.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 67.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.4%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Veleno
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
37.0% (211)
+10.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (10)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On power play, Veleno has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Veleno
Buchnevich
Home
47.8% (201)
35.6% (87)
Away
46.1% (228)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Veleno
Buchnevich
P1
48.8%
36.3%
P2
47.9%
37.6%
P3
44.2%
38.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.9%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
37.3%