Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Krebs 45.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 54.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Veleno
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Veleno
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
44.4% (403)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
45.0% (20)
-7.1%
On even strength, Veleno has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Veleno
Krebs
Home
49.6% (123)
46.3% (205)
Away
52.2% (184)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Veleno
Krebs
P1
54.1%
47.0%
P2
48.8%
45.4%
P3
52.6%
40.7%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |