Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 50.9%
Defensive zone
Krebs 55.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Veleno
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Veleno
Krebs
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Krebs
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Veleno
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Veleno
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
46.0% (2,174)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
52.5% (101)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
38.6% (171)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Veleno
Krebs
Home
45.3% (1,136)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Veleno
Krebs
P1
47.9%
45.9%
P2
47.7%
46.5%
P3
45.9%
44.7%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |