Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 54.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 54.0%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 52.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Veleno
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
49.0% (245)
-1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
48.6% (37)
-23.6%
On power play, Veleno has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Veleno
Holmberg
Home
47.8% (201)
50.3% (147)
Away
46.1% (228)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Veleno
Holmberg
P1
48.8%
59.2%
P2
47.9%
40.0%
P3
44.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.9%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |