Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Holmberg 46.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 65.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 70.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 72.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Veleno
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Veleno
Holmberg
Last 10: Veleno 8-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Holmberg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
6
0
Veleno
Holmberg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
45.3% (676)
+2.0%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
50.0% (22)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
45.9% (61)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Holmberg is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Veleno
Holmberg
Home
45.3% (1,136)
46.2% (422)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Veleno
Holmberg
P1
47.9%
53.1%
P2
47.7%
40.9%
P3
45.9%
42.3%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |