Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 66.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Veleno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Hartman
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Veleno
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Veleno
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
45.1% (874)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
37.5% (16)
+0.4%
On even strength, Veleno has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hartman
Home
49.6% (123)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.2% (184)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Veleno
Hartman
P1
54.1%
47.3%
P2
48.8%
40.1%
P3
52.6%
48.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |