Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Hartman 45.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Veleno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Veleno
Hartman
Last 10: Veleno 1-9 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Veleno
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Veleno
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
45.2% (4,279)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
47.3% (446)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
42.4% (262)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hartman
Home
45.3% (1,136)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Veleno
Hartman
P1
47.9%
46.1%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
45.9%
46.7%
OT
35.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |