Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
46.0% (250)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
31.8% (22)
+6.1%
On even strength, Veleno has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.6% (123)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.2% (184)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
48.8%
45.9%
P3
52.6%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |