Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 54.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 72.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 65.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Veleno 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
44.8% (8,775)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
50.6% (844)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
37.8% (880)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.3% (1,136)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.9%
45.1%
P2
47.7%
43.9%
P3
45.9%
45.2%
OT
35.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |