Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 62.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 93.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 81.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Veleno
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Veleno
Wright
Last 5: Veleno 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
39.7% (461)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
0.0% (1)
+37.9%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Veleno
Wright
Home
49.6% (123)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.2% (184)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Veleno
Wright
P1
54.1%
40.2%
P2
48.8%
36.7%
P3
52.6%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |