Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Wright 43.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 70.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 88.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 81.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Veleno
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Veleno
Wright
Last 6: Veleno 5-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
42.7% (1,326)
+4.6%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
45.1% (133)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
33.3% (6)
+3.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Veleno
Wright
Home
45.3% (1,136)
44.2% (746)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Veleno
Wright
P1
47.9%
44.5%
P2
47.7%
40.5%
P3
45.9%
44.0%
OT
35.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |