Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 52.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Veleno
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Veleno
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
51.4% (74)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
42.3% (26)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
49.6% (123)
52.9% (68)
Away
52.2% (184)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
54.1%
58.6%
P2
48.8%
45.0%
P3
52.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |