Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Hertl 57.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 77.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 56.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Veleno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
58.7% (858)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
62.9% (35)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hertl
Home
49.6% (123)
60.1% (599)
Away
52.2% (184)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Veleno
Hertl
P1
54.1%
52.4%
P2
48.8%
63.9%
P3
52.6%
58.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |