Joel Eriksson Ek vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs McCarron 52.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 84.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 56.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Ek
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Ek
McCarron
Last 10: Ek 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
8
Ek
McCarron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
52.8% (697)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
18.2% (11)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
52.6% (211)
-4.7%
On power play, Ek has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Ek
McCarron
Home
49.9% (693)
52.8% (477)
Away
48.3% (625)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Ek
McCarron
P1
47.4%
56.2%
P2
53.1%
52.4%
P3
46.3%
48.7%
OT
54.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |