Joel Eriksson Ek vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs McCarron 52.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 80.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 59.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Ek
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
20
(34 meetings)
14
20
Ek
McCarron
Last 10: Ek 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
7
1
Ek
McCarron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
11
Ek
McCarron
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
8
Ek
McCarron
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
53.3% (2,926)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
45.3% (86)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
50.1% (469)
-9.8%
On power play, Ek has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Ek shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Ek
McCarron
Home
48.6% (4,644)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Ek
McCarron
P1
46.8%
53.8%
P2
49.5%
52.3%
P3
46.7%
51.9%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |