Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Frost 51.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 59.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 83.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 71.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Ek
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ek
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Ek
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Ek
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
50.3% (825)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
54.9% (204)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
50.0% (4)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Ek
Frost
Home
49.2% (331)
50.7% (489)
Away
45.7% (536)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Ek
Frost
P1
38.7%
53.6%
P2
52.9%
47.8%
P3
48.8%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.1%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |