Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Frost 56.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 74.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 86.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 72.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Ek
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Ek
Frost
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Ek
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
6
Ek
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
56.0% (755)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
60.1% (173)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
88.9% (9)
-41.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Ek
Frost
Home
49.9% (693)
57.3% (497)
Away
48.3% (625)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Ek
Frost
P1
47.4%
60.2%
P2
53.1%
56.0%
P3
46.3%
54.8%
OT
54.9%
63.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |