Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 84 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 108-93 in 201 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 52.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 59.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 59.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Ek
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
108
-
93
(201 meetings)
108
93
Ek
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
26
39
Ek
MacKinnon
65 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
30
22
Ek
MacKinnon
52 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
52
32
Ek
MacKinnon
84 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
46.1% (11,264)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
53.2% (1,421)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
42.8% (502)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
48.6% (4,644)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
47.4%
P2
49.5%
46.6%
P3
46.7%
46.1%
OT
53.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |