Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Cates 43.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 96.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 86.8%
Neutral zone
Ek 88.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Ek
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
11
(34 meetings)
23
11
Ek
Cates
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
11
6
Ek
Cates
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
2
Ek
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
7
3
Ek
Cates
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
44.1% (2,786)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
42.9% (254)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
34.9% (373)
+5.4%
On power play, Ek has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Ek shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Ek
Cates
Home
48.6% (4,644)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Ek
Cates
P1
46.8%
44.5%
P2
49.5%
43.7%
P3
46.7%
41.2%
OT
53.8%
29.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 02:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |