Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 25-22 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
25
(47 meetings)
22
25
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
11
8
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
9
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
8
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
44.8% (8,775)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
50.6% (844)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
37.8% (880)
+2.5%
On power play, Ek has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Ek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.6% (4,644)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Ek
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.8%
45.1%
P2
49.5%
43.9%
P3
46.7%
45.2%
OT
53.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |