Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 63.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Ek
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Ek
Aho
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
7
Ek
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
1
Ek
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
4
1
Ek
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
50.5% (878)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
53.5% (144)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
44.3% (61)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
49.9% (693)
53.8% (571)
Away
48.3% (625)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
47.4%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
51.7%
P3
46.3%
50.3%
OT
54.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |