Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 28 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 35-29 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 56.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Ek
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
29
(64 meetings)
35
29
Ek
Aho
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
9
19
Ek
Aho
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
14
6
Ek
Aho
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
12
4
Ek
Aho
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
50.2% (6,646)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
46.5% (465)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
48.6% (4,644)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
46.8%
51.1%
P2
49.5%
52.1%
P3
46.7%
50.8%
OT
53.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |