Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 47.7% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+19.3%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 54.6%
Defensive zone
Farabee 54.9%
Neutral zone
Farabee 51.6%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (37)
25.0% (20)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Farabee has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
38.1% (21)
20.0% (10)
Away
46.7% (30)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
56.5%
80.0%
P2
43.8%
14.3%
P3
16.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
43.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%