Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 34.8% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.7% vs Toffoli 43.0% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 52.4%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 57.7%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 53.9%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (312)
41.2% (274)
-8.5%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
45.0% (40)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
26.3% (19)
+5.7%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
33.7% (178)
44.5% (155)
Away
35.3% (215)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
39.9%
47.4%
P2
32.8%
39.8%
P3
28.4%
32.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.9%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
34.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%