Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.3% vs Stajan 51.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 58.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 62.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 59.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Ward
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ward
Stajan
Last 6: Ward 1-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Ward
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Ward
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (96)
52.4% (731)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
45.8% (59)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
48.1% (52)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Ward is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Ward shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Ward
Stajan
Home
48.6% (74)
52.9% (427)
Away
48.9% (94)
50.2% (418)
By Period
Ward
Stajan
P1
43.4%
49.6%
P2
56.9%
53.2%
P3
46.4%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |