Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 45.9% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.3%
Defensive zone
Beecher 73.2%
Neutral zone
Beecher 54.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beecher
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Beecher
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (147)
55.7% (856)
-11.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.5% (233)
-57.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (35)
50.0% (144)
-7.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
45.2% (93)
55.5% (616)
Away
42.2% (90)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
58.1%
P2
35.2%
54.9%
P3
50.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
43.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |