Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beecher wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.6%
Defensive zone
Beecher 89.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 62.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Beecher
O'Reilly
Last 7: Beecher 3-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Beecher
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
0
Beecher
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (993)
56.2% (15,290)
-3.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.7% (3,457)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (221)
51.4% (2,826)
-5.2%
On power play, Beecher has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
51.4% (562)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
52.2% (663)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
53.8%
55.6%
P2
48.0%
57.0%
P3
53.8%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |